July 4, 2025

Waste, whether excess materials, inefficient processes, unnecessary energy use or defective products, is a central determinant of industrial performance. Poorly managed waste affects a company’s cost base, operational resilience, regulatory exposure, community relations and environmental impact.

Today, investors and analysts spend considerable time assessing the environmental footprint of industrial products during sourcing, manufacturing and distribution. Much less attention is paid to the full life-cycle efficiency of a company’s operations: how materials are used or misused, how products are disposed of, how production systems create unnecessary complexity, or how inefficiencies compound over time.

Industrial firms are often penalized for the negative environmental and social consequences of their waste only after issues arise, typically through fines, litigation, or reputational damage. These measures rarely address the root causes or lead to durable improvements in corporate performance.

A valuation methodology based on the full life-cycle management of waste and on a company’s maturity in applying the waste-management hierarchy, produces assessments that better reflect long-term value creation. Industrial companies that prevent waste, reuse materials and optimize resource flows contribute not only to environmental sustainability but also to the fiscal and social health of the communities where they operate. Efficient markets should recognize and reward these companies accordingly.

Valuation thesis

It is a core principle of industrial economics that waste and mismanagement signal a company operating below its potential. Economic efficiency requires maximizing the value obtained from inputs (materials, energy, labor and capital) and minimizing value leakage through unnecessary or harmful outputs.

Our research shows that industrial companies that manage their carbon, water and material waste more efficiently typically achieve stronger margins, lower volatility and improved long-term competitiveness.

Despite this, financial markets rarely incorporate structured waste-efficiency analysis into valuation models. Traditional metrics focus on revenue generation, capacity utilization and returns on capital, but seldom on the relationship between value creation and waste generation.

The methodology described in this paper adopts a philosophy of waste-efficient valuation, aimed at identifying industrial firms (mainly across the energy, agriculture, transportation, consumer goods, construction and heavy manufacturing sectors) that transform waste-reduction practices into measurable economic and strategic advantage.

Our approach applies a life-cycle operational analysis informed by Lean principles and the seven classical manufacturing wastes: overproduction, waiting, transportation, inappropriate processing, unnecessary inventory, unnecessary motion and defects (Ohno). It also incorporates additional inefficiency categories identified by Bicheno: untapped human capital, inappropriate systems, wasted energy and water, wasted materials, wasted customer time and defecting customers.

Historical evidence suggests that companies with strong waste-efficiency profiles have tended to outperform peers with more inefficient operations. This is supported by regulatory developments: although varying by jurisdiction, many industrialized economies increasingly emphasize waste reduction, circularity, product sustainability and transparent reporting. France’s anti-waste law (Loi AGEC), for example, illustrates how national policy can alter cost structures, mandate product redesign and require firms to internalize material-efficiency considerations. Such policies reinforce the importance of integrating waste-efficiency factors into valuation because they materially influence long-term margins, compliance risk and competitive positioning.

Waste-efficient research and valuation frameworks

The proposed valuation methodology applies the waste hierarchy (prevention, reuse, recycling, energy recovery and disposal) to assess the operational quality and long-term value potential of industrial firms. Waste prevention is weighted more heavily than recycling or disposal, as upstream efficiency has the greatest effect on costs and sustainability.

The analysis is built around three key pillars: waste prevention, waste management and waste disposal.

Waste prevention

Waste prevention is the reduction of material volume and harmful outputs before they enter the waste stream. In the context of valuation, waste prevention is viewed as a measure of an industrial company’s governance quality, operational discipline and strategic foresight.

The analysis focuses on:

  • product and process design that minimizes raw-material intensity;

  • scenario analysis applied to sourcing decisions and input volatility;

  • process-control systems that detect inefficiencies early;

  • Lean manufacturing practices, such as just-in-time production and total quality management;

  • extended product life, standardized components and modular design; and

  • employee engagement programs that empower teams to identify waste-reduction opportunities.

Waste prevention demonstrates how comprehensively a company has reviewed its operational value chain—from procurement to assembly to packaging—to eliminate unnecessary steps, materials and errors.

Because waste prevention often signals disciplined management and resilient operations, it has direct implications for valuation through margin stability, lower working-capital needs, reduced downtime and diminished regulatory exposure.

Waste management (reuse, recycle and resource recovery)

The second pillar evaluates how a company handles the waste that it does generate.

Reuse (“waste to value”)

Reuse focuses on a company’s ability to convert by-products or discarded materials into economically valuable inputs. Examples include:

  • reintegrating scrap metal into production lines;

  • repurposing chemical by-products; and

  • refurbishing components instead of replacing them.

A high reuse ratio often indicates mature engineering practices and cost-efficient material flows.

Recycling

Recycling assesses the company’s role in separating, processing and reintroducing materials into the production cycle. This includes:

  • in-house materials recovery;

  • partnerships with recycling specialists;

  • recycling of electronics and complex industrial equipment; and

  • the extent to which recyclable content is used in new products.

Recycling maturity affects both cost structure and regulatory compliance.

Resource and energy recovery

Resource recovery evaluates procedures that restore materials to usable quality or convert waste into energy. Examples include:

  • removal of contaminants for material reclamation;

  • combustion of waste to produce industrial heat or steam; and

  • recovery of solvents, oils, or catalysts.

Companies with advanced recovery systems often achieve lower net waste and reduced energy costs.

Waste disposal

The final pillar assesses how unavoidable waste is handled. While disposal does not create value, poor disposal practices can destroy value through fines, environmental damage and reputational harm.

The analysis evaluates:

  • reliance on landfills vs. advanced treatment methods;

  • incineration standards and emissions controls;

  • wastewater treatment systems and regulatory adherence; and

  • risk exposure from hazardous-material handling.

Companies that demonstrate safe, compliant and cost-efficient disposal practices are less prone to operational shocks that distort valuations.

Waste-efficiency metrics for valuation

Based on the framework above, the methodology produces several measurable indicators:

  • Waste-per-revenue ratio: total waste generated per unit of sales (e.g., kg per € million).

  • Material-recovery rate: percentage of waste diverted from disposal through reuse or recycling.

  • Energy-efficiency and carbon-efficiency metrics: emissions per revenue or per unit of production.

  • Qualitative assessments: governance of waste systems, cross-functional coordination and employee involvement.

Additional criteria include:

  • avoiding operations that create persistent environmental or social harm; and

  • identifying whether the company contributes positively to resource efficiency, regional development, or industrial innovation.

These factors are integrated into company valuations to adjust earnings forecasts, cost-of-capital assumptions and long-term growth rates.

Application to industrial valuation

Although not a standalone valuation framework, this methodology can be used alongside more traditional valuation methodologies in order to improve the analysis of long-term cost competitiveness, identify operational risks that threaten margins or capacity, differentiating between companies with resilient, efficient systems and those vulnerable to input shocks or regulatory tightening and highlighting firms that can generate growth through circular-economy innovation.

Waste-efficiency measures provide an additional analytical dimension that strengthens valuation accuracy and helps identify industry leaders with durable value-creation potential.

CPM

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